How Markets Work
What The Widowmaker Can Teach Us About Trade Prospecting And Fool’s Gold
How an option market decomposes probability from expectancy
How Markets Work
How an option market decomposes probability from expectancy
Options and Volatility
Use volatility-aware price changes for more context in your dashboards
Options Theory
Learn how option prices depend on changes in implied volatility
Options Theory
The broad trade-offs when trying to isolate volatility bets
Options Theory
Options allow us to express bets on the distribution of the underlying instead of just "will the stock go up or down?"
Options and Volatility
How you can be right on direction and still wrong
Risk and Edge
See how the path of returns can alter the distribution of p/l independently of expectancy.
Options Theory
When an outcome is binary with an implied probability, the straddle will tell you the expected move in either direction
Options and Volatility
See how out-of-the-money options have non-linear responses to changes in implied volatility
Options Theory
The most important greek for long-dated options
Options and Volatility
The arithmetic behind how increased volatility reduces average compounded returns
Risk and Edge
Compute the amount of dollars required to rebalance a levered exposure