Options and Volatility
HOOD: A Case Study in “Renting the Straddle”
earnings extraction example
Options and Volatility
earnings extraction example
Our thinking on options, trading, investing.
Last week, in part 1, we backfilled prerequisite knowledge: 1. Distance in return space: equal percentage moves aren’t equal in compounded or log space 2. Vol bonus vs vol tax: trend and chop change the distribution of a levered asset 3. Derivatives-on-derivatives: options on the underlying ETF are inputs
“They” say human labor will be irrelevant by 2027. By then, any business you can think will be solved by capital (electricity and tokens) before you brush your teeth in the morning. You either get rich in the next year or join the permanent underclass. So we aren’t shocked
key differences between retail and institutional traders
the "system 2" reaction to a proposition
stubborn assumptions die hard
proving diversification is a free lunch
How parallel coordinates turn four volatility metrics into actionable trade structures
speedrunning feedback
Jeff Yass on prediction markets
funding edge cases
every industry has its challenges
law of one price in action